Friday, September 27, 2013

#NBARank Analysis: Players 301-400

"This year, we asked our ESPN Forecast panel to predict the overall level of play for each player for the upcoming NBA season. This includes both the quality and the quantity of his expected contributions, combined in one overall rating."

How did ESPN do with their list from 301-400?  The network divides players into blocks of 25; I will be analyzing an overrated and underrated player for each block.

400-376:
Overrated- Derek Fisher (#381)- Fisher is a good set shooter, and is a smart player on the court.  He had a major role in the NBA Players' Association.  From a basketball standpoint, he should probably be out of the league.  Sure he has a knack for hitting clutch shots, but he is virtually unplayable for most of a game, especially on the defensive end.  420-430 seems more appropriate.

Other- Royal Ivey (#395)

Underrated- Giannis Antetokounmpo (#376)- He is mysterious, and likely plays in the D-League for the first chunk of the year.  Given the other small forwards on the roster, he could get a chance to start next to Henson/Sanders in a group once the Bucks are eliminated from playoff contention- should be around midseason.  I have solid expectations for Giannis, and think he will pan out for John Hammond.

Other- Luigi Datome (#397)

375-351:
Overrated- Josh Childress (#361)- Childress will have a tough time making a roster, yet voters somehow rated him above over 100 more players, many with superior talent and potential.  While his afro may be the best in the league, he is a slasher who can't get to the rim, and an unreliable outside shots.  He should be below 450.

Other- Marcus Camby (#363)

Underrated- Perry Jones III (#368)- I still believe Jones III has a bright future, and he should see more minutes in OKC this year.  He is a 6'11 forward who is a good ball handler for the forward position.  He is a decent rebounder and shot blocker due to his athleticism and length.  He is a more reliable outside shot away from producing like Earl Clark last year in LA.  If he doesn't get minutes in OKC, someone else should take a chance on Jones.  It will pay off.

Other- Tony Mitchell (#366)

350-326:
Overrated: Anthony Randolph (#343)- Don't get me wrong, Randolph still has potential.  He is only 24 years old and entering his 6th season in the NBA.  He has been a bust so far- his physical gifts were too tempting at the time.  Don't expect Randolph to get many minutes in a crowded front court rotation.  He could make a bigger impact on a different team, but don't expect any significant production from Randolph, a player who will be stuck as a 13th man this year.

Underrated:  Kent Bazemore (#332)- Bazemore has potential to be an electric scorer, and a lockdown defender.  He has potential to be a more athletic Wesley Matthews if his offense, and outside shot in particular, continue to improve.  He could be a dunk contest candidate due to his ridiculous athleticism, and he improves the depth in GS even after the loss of Jarrett Jack.  At this time next year, he could move up another 100 spots.


Others:  Tony Wroten (#341), Hasheem Thabeet (#347)

325-301:
Overrated:  Charlie Villanueva (#313)- How much production are we really expecting from Villanueva?  He is likely behind Jerebko, Singler, Datome and Tony Mitchell on the depth chart, and is a limited defensive player.  Finally in the last year of his contract, he could be moved to a tanking team (yes, the 2014 draft class is tank worthy) for a younger prospect.  This could be the end of the line in the NBA for Charlie.

Other:  Joel Anthony (#311)

Underrated:  Kendall Marshall (#320)  Marshall is now stuck on the depth chart behind Dragic and Bledsoe, and may find very few minutes to start the year.  Unfortunately, the Suns will struggle again this year, which could make way for more time on the court after midseason for Marshall.  Widely regarded as the best passer in the 2012 draft, Marshall could find himself more time next to Dragic/Bledsoe if he improves his shooting.

Others:  John Jenkins (#301)

No comments:

Post a Comment