Thursday, March 7, 2013

New NBA Mock Draft (round 1)

Here is an updated mock draft for this summer.  Big board rankings for player in parenthesis:

  1.  Charlotte- Ben McLemore (3) McLemore makes the most sense for the Bobcats.  A natural scorer, he fits in next to Walker and MKG to make an appealing backcourt for the future.
  2.  Orlando- Marcus Smart (7) Smart makes a lot of sense for Orlando, who still has Jameer Nelson running the point.  With youth at all other positions, grooming a new point guard is important.
  3.  Washington- Nerlens Noel (2) Washington has their backcourt set, and Noel would give the Wizards an interior defensive presence that has been lacking.  Next to Nene, Noel could fit well.  Reminds me of a very raw Ibaka.
  4.  Cleveland- Shabazz Muhammad (1) The top guy goes #4?  How?  In a draft with no superstar, team needs will come into play more.  Muhammad's stock has inexplicably dropped lately, though he will wind up being a good defender and a potential 20 point scorer.  Next to Irving, Cleveland could have 2 all-stars.
  5.  Sacramento- Otto Porter (5) Porter is extremely versatile, and won't come in demanding a ton of shots.  Next to Marcus Thornton, the Kings (Sonics?) could wind up with an underrated wing duo.
  6.  New Orleans- Anthony Bennett (8) Neither Len or Zeller fit well next to Davis, but Bennett does nicely.  An undersized 4, he will bring physicality to a front line next to Davis, while also showing some ability from 18 feet.  If he continues to develop his shot, the corner 3 could be a good spot for him too.
  7.  Phoenix- Alex Len (4) Marcin Gortat is a good center for a team who doesn't need him to score.  Phoenix is rebuilding, and should get young/future assets for Gortat this summer.  Len could give much of the same value Gortat gives now, though he will need to get stronger.
  8.  Minnesota- Cody Zeller (6) Minnesota has dealt with frontcourt injuries the whole season.  Love is the best 4 in the game when healthy, and Pekovic is in for a giant raise this summer.  Zeller can step in and start right away if they decide to move on from Pek.  If they keep him, they have a great 3 big man rotation.
  9.  Detroit- Victor Oladipo (9) Detroit seems to be in the right place in every draft, having Monroe and Drummond land in their laps the past two.  Oladipo is the best perimeter defender in this draft class, and will show some ability to score.  He could be Tony Allen with more offense.
  10.  OKC (from Toronto)-CJ McCollum G/Lehigh (10) Kevin Martin is a free agent, and McCollum could be a future replacement as a scoring 6th man.  A go to guy at Lehigh, don't be surprised if he ends up scoring 15 per game in the pros one day.
  11.  Philadelphia- Isaiah Austin PF/Baylor (11) Philadelphia has missed Vucevic all season.  Austin has a similar skill set, and has defensive potential at over 7 feet.  If Bynum can return to form, Austin is a great compliment.
  12.  Dallas- Trey Burke (14) Dallas has no point guard of the future.  Burke is undersized, and could become a better shooter, but is a blur in transition and is a very good passer and defender.  He could be a top 10 pick by June.
  13.  Charlotte (from Portland)- Mason Plumlee (19) Charlotte could use the grit and motor Plumlee plays with.  He won't ever be a star, but next to Kidd-Gilchrist, Charlotte could have a frontcourt that puts in A LOT of effort on the glass and defensive end.
  14.  Phoenix (from LA Lakers)- Allan Crabbe (13) Dragic is a very good passer, and should rack up more assists once he has more capable players to pass to.  Crabbe could be the best shooter in the draft, and could have a similar impact as Klay Thompson in a year or two.
  15.  Milwaukee- Michael Carter-Williams (16) Brandon Jennings' future in Milwaukee is unknown, as he could get overpaid by a team in restricted free agency.  Drafting the 6'6" MCW could indicate moving on from Jennings.  Not an initial starter, his potential is higher in years 3 and 4 to start during his rookie contract.
  16.  Atlanta (from Houston)- Alex Poythress (12) Poythress has a lot of physical talent, though has struggled to consistently produce at Kentucky.  His motor has also been questioned.  In the middle of round one though, he could provide fantastic value.
  17.  Utah- Gary Harris (15)- Utah could use more outside shooting.  Gordon Hayward is a good shooter, but the team needs more than 1.  Harris provides above average defense as well.  Another good value.
  18.  Boston- Dario Saric (24)- Boston has issues with the salary cap and aging players.  Saric could be stashed in Europe for a few years until Boston is ready for him.
  19.  Utah (from Golden State)- Rudy Gobert (18) Don't expect Al Jefferson to wear a Jazz uniform next year, as Kanter will most likely get the nod to be the starter next year.  Gobert is a project center who the Jazz can afford to wait on.
  20.  Atlanta- Archie Goodwin (17)- Ok, I know, ATL gets UK's underwhelming duo.  Both came into the season as top 10 prospects, and have both shown glimpses of being good players at the next level.  A chance worth taking.
  21.  Brooklyn- Willie Cauley-Stein (20)- Brook Lopez has emerged as one of the best centers in the Eastern Conference, though he still is not a great rebounder.  Cauley-Stein could become an efficient rebounder with a low-post game.  A solid back-up for the next 3-4 years.
  22.  Chicago- Mason Plumlee (19)- Boozer could get amnestied and Gibson will become a starter.  Plumlee can step in right away for rotation minutes, as he is a good rebounder and defender.
  23.  New York- Russ Smith (22)- Russ-diculous would look great in New York's up and down pace.  He has potential to become a shorter (6'0") JR Smith type player, and offers potential as a potential 6th man.
  24.  Indiana- Kelly Olynyk (32)- David West's years are becoming limited, and Olynyk has a fluid offensive game and is a great athlete.  He would fit into the culture the Pacers have been trying to build.  Compliments George nicely.
  25.  Denver- Jeff Withey (33)- Denver could lose Mozgov to an offer around 4-5 million yearly this summer, and they would be better off replacing him with the talented defensive player Withey.  Withey is a better shot blocker than Mozgov anyways.
  26.  Minnesota (from Memphis)- CJ Leslie (21) Leslie is a fantastic athlete who has improved his game this year, especially on the offensive end.  He still isn't a great defensive player, but his length and athleticism offers potential.
  27.  LA Clippers- Andre Roberson (23) Roberson's claim to fame is his elite rebounding.  A combo forward, he is an ok set shooter and a decent defender.  He could fill Matt Barnes' role.  If he ever learns to shoot he could be a steal this low.
  28.  Oklahoma City- Gorgui Dieng (36) Dieng is a fantastic shot blocker, and could be a replacement for Hasheem Thabeet.  Dieng's offensive game likely won't improve much, but he could be a shot blocking presence when Ibaka isn't in the game.
  29.  Cleveland (from Miami)- James McAdoo (25) It is amazing how far McAdoo has fallen.  If Mareese Speights isn't retained, McAdoo could be a low cost replacement.  He has a solid touch around the rim, but isn't a good defender. 
  30.  San Antonio- Nemanja Nedovic (27) I love Nedovic's game.  He would be a steal if San Antonio picks him up.  A combo guard, he is a great athlete and an improving shooter and defender.  If he improves his point guard skills we could be looking at Goran Dragic 2.0.
 Round 2 prospects to keep an eye on:
Isaiah Canaan, Tony Mitchell, Sergey Karasev, CJ Wilcox, Myck Kabongo, Elias Harris, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Mike Muscala,

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