Saturday, March 16, 2013

NCAA Tournament Notes- Teams to watch

The NCAA bracket (Long awaited, of course) comes out tomorrow, with the next 48 hours devoted to analysis of match-ups, both logical and ridiculous.  Both arguments should be heard, though, as a select few looked like geniuses last year for picking Lehigh and Norfolk State (not really:  Luck.)  In this year's tournament, who will be some lower seeded teams to make some deep runs?
     *These teams should all be a 4-5 or less.

Wisconsin- Wisconsin may be playing their way into a higher seed, as they are playing fantastic basketball right now.  Having knocked off both Michigan and Indiana on back to back days, many teams will be afraid of the Badgers.  If they stick on the 4 line (or 5 perhaps), expect a 1 seed to be very wary in the round of 16.

Virginia Commonwealth- A wise girl once told me never to pick against Shaka Smart in the first few rounds.  This year especially, she is right.  The Rams force an incredible amount of turnovers and hit a lot of 3s.  The Rams made an unlikely run to the final four a few years ago, and this year could make a similar run.  Do not be shocked to see VCU in the Elite Eight or Final 4 this year.

UCLA- UCLA could be vulnerable to a first round upset, though the team is a match-up nightmare due to their depth, and go-to player in Shabazz Muhammad.  The Bruins have played good basketball over the past month, winning the Pac-12 season and playing in the championship game tonight for the Pac-12 tourney (Quick prediction:  UCLA 72 Oregon 67).  Many teams will want to avoid the Bruins.

Iowa State- Iowa State seems destined for a 8-10 seed.  Should they win a round one match-up, 1 and 2 seeds will not like their draw.  Led by former Cyclone Fred Hoiberg, the Cyclones score a lot of points.  They won't make a deep run, but could upset a top team who doesn't show up defensively.

Kentucky- At this point, Kentucky might not even make the tournament.  If they do get in, not many teams will wish to face them.  Underachieving all year, the team does have potential to win games in the tournament, and could be a very tough out if Goodwin, Poythress and company decide to play hard.

Bucknell- Bucknell will draw a 12 or 13 seed.  4 and 5 seeds watch-out.  Led by center Mike Muscala, Bucknell seems poised to upset a top team, as the school has done before to powerhouses Kansas and Syracuse.   Bucknell nearly pulled off an upset at Missouri, and beat fellow bubble team LaSalle at home.  As a potential upset team, the Bisons have potential.

James Madison- This is a HUGE longshot.  There have been talks that this could be the year that a 16 seed knocks off a 1 seed.  I disagree that this is the year, as the number 1 seeds are still strong this year.  If there is to be a close call, watch for James Madison to be the opposing team.  The Colonial Conference is stronger than other mid-majors that produce 16 seeds, as George Mason and VCU were both in the colonial when they made their deep runs.  It would take a perfect game from James Madison, but this 16 seed is most likely to pull it off this year.

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