Monday, December 17, 2012

NFL Season thoughts

Week 15 wraps up tonight, and playoff races are very tight.  The northwest Seahawks are in a solid position to make the playoffs, and even win the division if the cards fall right.  At 9-5, I would think that one more win would be enough to clinch a wild card berth.  Over the course of the season, who has played well?  Here are my position ranks based off of the player's current value to win games and develop into a player who can win games over the next few seasons:

QB (Without a good one, kiss wins goodbye)             
1.  Aaron Rodgers- The most elite QB in the league, and the youngest of the elite tier.                     
2.  Drew Brees-  Will still be incredible for at least 5 years.
3.  Tom Brady-  35 years old, but as dangerous as ever.  Still a top 3 guy.
4.  Andrew Luck- Has led the Colts to a likely playoff berth with questionable talent around him.  He will be the best QB in the league in 5 years.
5.  Robert Griffin III- Griffin has been outstanding as well.  He has made the Redskins relevant again and is dominant as a duel threat QB.
6.  Peyton Manning- Injuries aside, he proved this year that he can still play at a high level.  The Broncos would be lost without him.
7.  Matt Ryan- Has become the franchise guy for a great Falcons team.  He will continue to be an awesome fantasy QB, but hasn't reached the top echelon just yet.
8.  Eli Manning- I'd take Ryan over him, though that takes nothing away from the 2 Super Bowls Eli has won.  He still throws the ball inconsistently at times.  If only he could play every quarter like it was the 4th.
9.  Russell Wilson- Maybe only Bill Simmons saw this coming.  I was excited about the Wilson pick, but he has been fantastic for Seattle this year.  If he gets better weapons to throw to I could look foolish for rating him this low.
10.  Tony Romo- He takes a lot of heat for bad plays, but he is a solid quarterback.  He won't win MVPs, but with the right defense and right staff behind him, he could lead a deep playoff run (not saying it will necessarily be for Dallas...)
Sleeper- Andy Dalton

RB (Very important, but shelf life must play into account for running backs)
1 Adrian Peterson- Could break records his season after his ACL tear.  Guy is a beast, rushing for 6.3 ypa so far this season.
2 Marshawn Lynch- A high rating, but he is nearly impossible to bring down.  He does not have breakaway speed, but he can still bust out 25 yard gains pretty easily.  As long as he stays healthy he will be the 2nd best RB in the league.
3 Arian Foster- A workhorse.  Lacks top notch speed, but is tough to bring down.
4 Jamaal Charles- Best player on an awful team.  Could do real damage behind a good offensive line.
5 Ray Rice- The most effective back in the passing game, and is still very good with the run too.
6 Trent Richardson- Took a lot of hits this year.  The Browns will continue to improve, and he will vault into the top 10 backs in the league.
7 CJ Spiller- Had an awesome season.  He would shine more without Fred Jackson.  He needs more carries.
8 Doug Martin- Fast and compact.  He will rush for 1000 yards many times.
9 Alfred Morris- A 6th round pick, exploded rather unexpectedly.  He will be a big time producer as long as Griffin stays healthy.
10 Frank Gore- Very consistent.  Hasn't had the down games many others (ie. Chris Johnson) have had.  Will continue to produce.
Sleeper- David Wilson

WR (Can make a average QB look very good)
1 Calvin Johnson- Megatron.  The most dominant receiver in the game.  He might reach 2000 yards with Rodgers or Luck.
2 Brandon Marshall-  Finally found a situation free of stress.  An incredible deep target, he is still a go to guy.
3 AJ Green- The next top receiver in the league.  The guy is scary good.
4 Julio Jones- Targets are even with White, and he has become a bigger red zone target.
5 Randall Cobb- His speed and shiftiness are tough to come by.  Think Welker with athleticism.
6 Andre Johnson- Might not be at the peak of his career, but he is still an incredible target to throw to.
7 Victor Cruz- Has incredible hands.  Good out of the slot or on the outside.
8 Dez Bryant- Might make Romo look better than he is.  Needs to increase work ethic, but his talent level is impressive.
9 Demaryius Thomas- Drafted ahead of Bryant, has become the top target for Manning.  Needs to run crisper routes, but he will continue to improve vastly.
10 Larry Fitzgerald- Still has caught almost 700 yards despite having awful QBs to throw his way.  If he sticks it out, Matt Barkley could be just what Fitz needs.
Sleeper-TY Hilton

Defensively I am going to rank slightly differently.  Based off of various skills, I will rank defensive players instead of just positions.

Pass Rush
1 JJ Watt
2 Aldon Smith
3 Chris Clemons
4 Von Miller
5 Clay Matthews
sleeper- Justin Houston
Tackles
1 James Laurinitas
2 Navorro Bowman
3 Luke Kuechly
4 Patrick Willis
5 Clay Matthews
sleeper- Bobby Wagner
Cover Skills
1 Patrick Peterson
2 Richard Sherman
3 Darrelle Revis
4 Tim Jennings
5 Stephon Gilmore
sleeper- Janoris Jenkins
Overall most complete defensive players:
1 JJ Watt
2 Von Miller
3 Clay Matthews
4 Patrick Willis
5 Patrick Peterson

Kick Returns:
1 David Wilson
2 Jacoby Jones
3 Randall Cobb
4 Darius Reynaud
5 Percy Harvin

Thoughts?

@ZRey12

No comments:

Post a Comment