Sunday, December 30, 2012

3 Round NFL Mock Draft- Version 3.0

Draft Order is now set for most non-playoff teams, save for a few coin flips.  Bowl Season is nearly over.  Who do I expect to rise from the college to NFL level in the first 3 rounds?  *Draft Order from walterfootball.com

  1. KC- Geno Smith QB/West Virginia- KC badly needs a QB.  They're so desperate that they will take Smith, who, based on talent, should be taken closer to the middle of rd. 1.
  2. JAX- Jarvis Jones OLB/Georgia- Jones is the best pass-rusher in the draft.  The Jags could add an impact player along the lines of Von Miller or Aldon Smith.
  3. OAK- Star Lotulelei DT/Utah- Star is going to be great in the middle of a defense.  Think Ngata.
  4. PHI- Luke Joekel OT/Texas A&M- Vick might not be back, but Philly needs to do a better job protecting the QB.
  5. DET- Manti T'eo ILB/Notre Dame- For years, Detroit has looked at rival Chicago having the best MLB in the game.  With T'eo, they could flip the script. 
  6. BUF- Damontre Moore DE/Texas A&M- Another impressive pass-rusher.  They need a QB, but is Barkley really better than Fitzpatrick?
  7. CLE- Bjoern Werner DE/Florida State- Werner is a complete DE prospect.  He will be productive in the NFL
  8. TEN- Dee Milliner CB/Alabama- Milliner is the best CB in the draft.  Not sure he's a shutdown guy, but definitely a future starter.
  9. ARZ- Matt Barkley QB/USC- Arizona's QB situation is a mess.  Barkley is better than any other options they have, though like Smith, would be better suited drafted lower.
  10. SD- Taylor Lewan OT/Michigan- Philip Rivers regressed this year.  Adding some extra protection is needed.
  11. NYJ- Ezekiel Ansah DE/BYU- Jets might take Barkley if he falls to them.  With Barkley gone, and no top WR, they add a raw DE with big pass-rush potential.
  12. TB- Jonathan Banks CB/Mississippi State- Tampa adds to their secondary by taking the college CB of the year.
  13. CAR- Sheldon Richardson DT/Missouri- Carolina passed on a DT last year, they won't make that mistake again.  Richardson wreaks havoc.
  14. PIT- Dion Jordan DE/Oregon- Harrison could be shown the door due to his salary.  The 6'7" Jordan would be a good replacement. 
  15. MIA- Eric Fisher OT/Central Michigan- Miami made a big investment in Tannehill.  Now they need to protect him better.
  16. NO- Jonathan Hankins DT/Ohio State- New Orleans defense was a big reason for their decline this year.
  17. STL- Chase Warmack OG/Alabama- Steven Jackson is getting older.  Adding the best run blocker in the draft will help him out.
  18. DAL-Alec Ogletree ILB/Georgia- Dallas' defense was concerning this year.  Adding a great LB in Ogletree will help immensely.
  19. NYG- Barkevious Mingo DE/LSU- Giants add to their D-Line collection.  He has potential, but can he figure it all out?
  20. CHI- Justin Hunter WR/Tennessee- Marshall saw lots of double teams and still had a phenomenal year.  Adding an impact WR across from him helps Cutler.
  21. CIN- Sam Montgomery DE/LSU- Montgomery was better at LSU than Mingo.  He doesn't have the size or speed of Mingo,
  22. STL*- Keenan Allen WR/California- Bradford needs better targets.  Allen would immediately upgrade STL's receivers.
  23. MIN- Barrett Jones OL/Alabama- Minnesota adds the most versatile O-Lineman in the draft.  Solid to help Ponder and Peterson.
  24. IND-  Dallas Thomas OT/Tennessee- Just as Miami protects Tannehill, Indianapolis protects Luck.  Improved O-Line play could help Luck's accuracy.
  25. BAL- Matt Elam S/Florida- Ed Reed could be done after this year or next.  Time to find a good replacement.
  26. SEA- Tavon Austin WR/West Virginia- Russell Wilson badly needs playmaking receivers.  In this draft there are none better than Austin.
  27. SF- Eric Reid S/LSU- Donte Whitner struggled at times for a dominant SF defense.  Adding some competition would be beneficial.  Reid is not as good as Vacarro now, but will be in 3 years.
  28. NE- Robert Woods WR/USC- Welker could leave, and Branch needs to call it a career.  Woods could easily fill both roles and produce at a high level. 
  29. GB- Giovani Bernard RB/North Carolina- GB can't start Alex Green or James Starks at RB anymore.  It's time to draft a starter.
  30. DEN-Tyler Eifert TE/Notre Dame- The next Dallas Clark.  Peyton Manning loves throwing to TE's, so Denver should add the best one in the draft.
  31. HOU- Terrance Williams WR/Baylor- Houston still needs a receiver opposite Andre Johnson.  Williams has big play potential and could develop into a #1 option
  32. ATL- Jake Matthews OT/Texas A&M- Matthews played RT at Texas A&M.  He would help both the run game and pass game a lot.
*Pick from WAS
Round 2
  1. JAX- Mike Glennon QB/NC State- Blaine Gabbert has struggled, and if the rumors are true, Tim Tebow will get a chance to win the job.  Glennon could be better than both. 
  2. KC-  Cordarelle Patterson WR/Tennessee- Bowe might leave in free agency.  Giving Geno Smith a good WR to work with will be important.
  3. PHI- Jonathan Cooper OG/North Carolina- Philadelphia continues to bolster their O-Line.  Cooper has first round talent, but guards rarely go in rd. 1. 
  4. DET- Jordan Poyer CB/Oregon State- Detroit badly needs to upgrade their secondary.  Poyer is a ball hawk, and should find many interceptions in the NFL.  
  5. CIN- Monte Ball RB/Wisconsin- This is the ceiling for how high Ball can go, but I think he will have a DeMarco Murray like effect on the Bengals.  He's an upgrade over the law firm.
  6. TEN- Kawann Short DT/Purdue- Short could go in rd. 1 as well.  He stops the run well, and could find a few sacks from the inside.    
  7. ARZ- DJ Fluker OT/Alabama- As bad as their QB situation is, their O-Line situation is not any better.  Fluker would be a starter at right tackle.
  8. BUF- Tyler Wilson QB/Arkansas- I'm not sold on Wilson as a first round pick.  That would be a major reach.  In rd. 2, Wilson is a solid backup pick to add competition.   
  9. NYJ- Ryan Nassib QB/Syracuse- Nassib could start next season in New York and I would not be surprised.  He may need a year of seasoning, but he has potential.  
  10. TB- Sylvester Williams DT/North Carolina- Williams is massive.  If a team needs a nose tackle, Williams could be converted.  Good value in rd. 2.  
  11. CAR- Brennan Williams OT/North Carolina- Williams is also a good value in rd. 2, a reach in rd. 1.  At right tackle, he would help Cam Newton.
  12. SD- Alex Okafor DE/Texas- Okafor is a fantastic pass rusher.  He demolished Oregon State's line in the Alamo Bowl.  Don't be surprised if he works his way into rd. 1, as pass rushers always rise (see Irvin and Jones in 2012 draft).
  13. MIA- Denard Robinson WR/Michigan- A true wild card pick.  Robinson is elusive and has good top speed.  Can he make the transition from QB effectively? 
  14. PIT- Xavier Rhodes CB/Florida State- Pittsburgh's secondary is aging.  Bringing in Rhodes will help the group next year, and as a building block for the future.  
  15. STL- Bennie Logan DT/LSU- Logan might not enter the draft.  If he does, he could even rise to rd. 1.  At pick 47, he would be a steal.
  16. NYG- Zach Ertz TE/Stanford- The Giants got essentially no value out of their TE's this year.  Ertz would be an instant upgrade.  TEs are all the rage right now...
  17. DAL- Oday Aboushi OT/Virginia- Tony Romo is solid when he has time.  Aboushi could be solid for Dallas as a right tackle.
  18. CHI- Kenny Vacarro S/Texas- Vacarro could go in the first round as well.  Chicago succeeds by taking the top player on the board. 
  19. WAS- Markus Wheaton WR/Oregon State- Wheaton is a sure rd. 2 pick.  He will rise with good work at the combine and senior bowl.
  20. MIN- Da'Rick Rogers WR/Tennessee Tech- Rogers has great talent, but off the field risks are heavily prevalent.  Based off talent alone, he could have a rd. 1 grade.
  21. CIN- Desmond Trufant CB/Washington- Cincinnati does not have a pressing need at CB, but many successful teams draft DBs year after year.  The Bengals are close to being a playoff team every year.
  22. MIA- Marquess Wilson WR/Washington State- Miami needs weapons for Tannehill to throw to also.  Wilson is a deep threat with good hands.
  23. SEA- Khaseem Greene OLB/Rutgers- Leroy Hill needs to be upgraded at OLB.  Greene was dominant for Rutgers this year, and should fit well next to Wagner and Wright.
  24. BAL- Jesse Williams DT/Alabama- Can Williams fall this low?  I think its possible, but this would be his floor.  Williams is a great run stopper, which is needed in their division.
  25. SF-  Chase Thomas OLB/Stanford- San Francisco has the best LB corps in the league.  Adding a former Harbaugh player across from Smith, and next to Willis and Bowman, could be scary good.
  26. NE- David Amerson CB/NC State- New England always drafts cornerbacks, yet still lack good starters.  Talib and McCourty are solid, but Amerson will challenge for playing time right away. 
  27. GB- Shane Skov LB/Stanford- Skov has a constant motor.  Green Bay needs a linebacker who can go sideline to sideline.
  28. DEN- Kenjon Barner RB/Oregon- Moreno has disappointed and McGahee is losing his athleticism.  Barner could be a steal this low, and would get 10-12 carries/game effectively.
  29. HOU- Corey Lemonieur DE/Auburn- Lemonieur has potential as a pass-rusher.  Going up against SEC offenses, he showed good production.   
  30. ATL- Kevin Reddick ILB/North Carolina- Atlanta does not have many pressing needs.  Adding a solid player like Reddick is a no-lose pick.
Round 3                          
  1.  KC- Stedman Bailey WR/West Virginia- KC gives Geno Smith a familiar target.  Bailey was great in Morgantown, and will be a good #2 receiver in the NFL.  Rd's 1-3 upgrade the offense in KC.   
  2.  JAX- Kyle Long OT/Oregon- Jacksonville has had difficulties protecting the QB.  Long has prototypical size, and shows good instincts as a blocker.  The son of NFL legend Howie Long.
  3.  DET- Eddie Lacey RB/Alabama- Jahvid Best's career is over.  Leshoure and Lacey would give Detroit two physical backs.  Lacey will run a faster 40 than will be expected.
  4.  OAK- Arthur Brown LB/Kansas State- Oakland's linebackers struggled.  Even McClain was almost released.  Brown would get playing time week 1.
  5.  PHI- Akeem Spence DT/Illinois- Eagles gave up over 100 yards rushing in lots of games.  Spence would help this cause.
  6.  TEN- Quinton Patton WR/La Tech- Patton had a great year for Louisiana Tech.  Locker needs more reliable targets to throw to, outside of Kendall Wright.
  7.  ARZ- Jonathan Jenkins DT/Georgia- Jenkins stock will fall after an underwhelming year coupled with ineligibility due to poor academic performance.  Rd. 3 seems about right.
  8.  BUF- Lane Johnson OT/Oklahoma- Whether it's Fitzpatrick, or rd. 2 mocked pick Wilson, better protection at RT is needed.
  9.  CLE- Tyler Bray QB/Tennessee- Cleveland is cleaning house again by firing their coach and GM.  New philosophies often mean new QBs.  Weeden and McCoy could lose the job to Bray. 
  10.  TB- John Simon DE/Ohio State- Going defense with their first 3 picks, TB could get back to what made them successful under John Gruden.
  11.  SF- Ryan Swope WR/Texas A&M- Swope reminds me of Wes Welker, who did not break out until he had Tom Brady.  Swope has excellent hands, and could replace Moss should he leave.
  12.  SD- Khaled Holmes C/USC- Rivers got hit too much.  Holmes could be the top center in the draft, depending on the position Barrett Jones winds up in.
  13.  NYJ- Cobi Hamilton WR/Arkansas- The Jets need playmakers.  Hamilton was Wilson's best option at Arkansas.  Next to Clyde Gates, the Jets could have an underrated receiving corps with an added Hamilton and a healthy Santonio Holmes.
  14.  NO- Philip Thomas S/Fresno State- Thomas had an impressive season, and was in the running for national awards.  New Orleans gets a ball hawk who will pick off 4-5 passes yr 1.
  15.  PIT- Jonathan Franklin RB/UCLA- Pittsburgh's running game was a mess this year.  Mendenhall is done.  Franklin adds versatility to the position they don't have.
  16.  MIA- Stepfan Taylor RB/Stanford- Reggie Bush is a free agent.  If he leaves, Taylor could replace Bush's numbers. 
  17.  STL- Tony Jefferson S/Oklahoma- Tony Jefferson could rise as high as the 2nd rd.  He is a top 5 safety in this draft class.
  18.  DAL- Tank Carradine DE/Florida State- Carradine could produce with the attention given to Ware.  A good, not great, option.
  19.  NYG- Margus Hunt DE/SMU- Hunt had a good year at SMU, recording 8 sacks.  Of Estonian heritage, he, along with rd. 1 pick Mingo, could bring some flair back to NYG's D-Line.
  20.  MIA- Marcus Lattimore RB/South Carolina- After drafting Taylor 5 picks earlier, they add a wait-and-see prospect in Lattimore.  Based off of talent, he is the top back in the draft.  After a gruesome injury, he will miss a lot of time.  A patient team could reap the benefits down the line. 
  21.  MIN- Everett Dawkins DT/Florida State- Florida State had a fantastic defensive line this year.  Dawkins was a stud, and can replace Kevin Williams.
  22.  CIN- TJ McDonald S/USC- TJ McDonald is a hard hitting safety.  Next to Mays, they would have an intimidating back line.
  23.  WAS- Ricky Wagner OT/Wisconsin- Wagner will be a very good RT in the NFL.  I could see him rising as high as late 2nd round.
  24.  IND- Chris Jones DT/Bowling Green- Jones had lots of sacks coming from the interior.  Albeit against weak competition, he has potential at the next level.
  25.  BAL- Theo Riddick WR/Notre Dame- Riddick is versatile, and can line-up at RB or WR.  In the slot, Riddick could be very good.
  26.  SEA- Jordan Reed TE/Florida- Russell Wilson could use an upgrade at TE, and Reed fits the bill.  Still learning the position, he has good speed and was reliable for Florida this year.
  27.  SF- Tyrann Mathieu CB/LSU- There will be a team who takes a 3rd round pick on Mathieu.  Everyone knows the story, from Heisman finalist to multiple drug violations.  Can Harbaugh keep him out of trouble?
  28.  NE- Larry Warford OG/Kentucky- Warford is a very good guard.  He can replace Mankins if his salary number is deemed too high.
  29.  GB- Marquise Goodwin WR/Texas- An olympic long jumper, Goodwin has top notch speed.  He would be perfect with Rodgers throwing to him.  If he run's a 40 below 4.25, as expected, don't count out Oakland in early rd. 3 to make this pick.
  30.  DEN- Will Davis CB/Utah State- Davis had a good year at Utah State.  With Champ Bailey turning 35 next year, Denver should add more depth.
  31.  HOU Landry Jones QB/Oklahoma- Texans don't need a QB, but Jones is a steal this low.  Just as other teams have done, they can develop him behind Schaub and look to obtain greater value for him in a few years. 
  32.  ATL Joseph Fauria TE/UCLA- Tony Gonzalez had a surprisingly amazing year.  With his age, a replacement should be drafted while Gonzalez is still on the team.  Fauria excels with his pass-catching.
Fans of all teams. are you happy with the first 3 rounds?  Post a comment about who you would rather have, and why!

To recognize greatness and tenacity, I will end this post with this,

Chuck Strong!

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