Sunday, November 11, 2012

NBA Draft 2008

I have not posted about the NBA Draft thus far, most likely because it is eons away, as the season just started.  That said, I prepare hundreds of hours for each draft, and have found that my rankings have been very accurate in projecting players.  It takes a few years to analyze a draft class to see the full benefits, and even then there might be some uncertainty as to who the best overall player was.  Throughout the next week I will be conducting "what ifs," about what would happen if the drafts were redone back in time.  Would John Wall or Blake Griffin still go #1?  Would Wes Matthews or Jeremy Lin go undrafted?  Time will tell...

So starting now, how how would the 2008 draft go if it were redone?
    *note:  This assumes all trades are made as well (For example Portland still trades with Indiana)

  1.  Chicago Derrick Rose (1)- Of course they still pick the MVP.
  2.  Miami Kevin Love (5)- They would find a complement to go with Wade, though this would probably make the Big 3 a fantasy again
  3.  Memphis Russell Westbrook(4)- The OJ Mayo trade was regrettable.  This time they get the guard who can help turn around the franchise
  4.  OKC (Seattle) Serge Ibaka(24)- They still wind up with Ibaka, but have to take him a lot earlier.
  5.  Minnesota Roy Hibbert(17)- We know Kahn wants to take a point guard, but Hibbert would be the big Minny needed.
  6.  New York Eric Gordon (7)- The shooter NY would want now.
  7.  LA Clippers Brook Lopez (10)- Would be a compliment to their future #1 pick
  8.  Milwaukee Nic Batum (25)- The 3 man Milwaukee has needed since they drafted Joe Alexander (wait that was this draft?)
  9.  Charlotte OJ Mayo (3)- Charlotte is worse now than they were then.  Adding Mayo would have been an upgrade over Augustin.
  10.  Brooklyn (NJ) JaVale McGee (18)- Still has his shortcomings, but is the best big on the board.
  11.  Portland Goran Dragic (45)- Thought they had their PG with Bayless.  The guy who went 36 spots later would have worked better.
  12.  Sacramento Danilo Gallinari (6)- Another franchise on the rebound, adding a scorer in Gallinari could have helped speed the rebuilding process.
  13.  Indiana Omer Asik (36)- Because Hibbert was already picked, they need a big man to play D and score inside.  Asik is still developing on offense, but is great on defense.
  14.  Golden State Michael Beasley (2) Still a lottery pick.  He has not been the star imagined, but he can score, and is a good rebounder when he wants to be.
  15.  Phoenix Ryan Anderson (21) Would have given Nash a pick and pop partner, and another shooter to kick to.  Can rebound too.
  16.  Philadelphia George Hill (26) And we thought the Spurs reached...  Hill has become a solid PG in the scoring mold. 
  17.  Indiana Mario Chalmers (34) Fits in Indiana like Hill does.  A shooter with a role that does not ask him to do too much.  That said, they'd prefer Hill.
  18.  Washington DeAndre Jordan (35) An athletic big, and smarter than McGee.  Too bad he is still super raw offensively.
  19.  Cleveland Nikola Pekovic (31) This still may be too low.  While unathletic, Pekovic has a nice touch, and is very strong.  Still developing in the NBA.
  20.  Charlotte Robin Lopez (15)- OJ Mayo and Robin Lopez would be much stronger than DJ Augustin and Alexis Ajinca.  Agreed?
  21.  Brooklyn (NJ) Courtney Lee (22)- Has developed into a defensive minded shooter.  Not a great player, but spots on every team for him.
  22.  Orlando Jerryd Bayless (11)- Was not the PG for Portland, but is a good scorer off the bench.  Would be good behind Nelson.
  23.  Utah JJ Hickson (19)- Athletic and still improving, Hickson would be a nice find for the Jazz here.
  24.  OKC (Seattle) DJ Augustin (9) The redraft screws over teams who drafted well in the first place.  While a significant downgrade, Augustin is a solid backup PG.
  25.  Portland Kosta Koufus (23) The starter in Denver, he will never be an amazing center, but he gets the job done.  Think Przybilla.
  26.  San Antonio Anthony Randolph (14) maybe a reach still, but San Antonio could have done wonders with his athleticism.
  27.  Memphis Darrell Arthur (27) So good the first time, they made it again.
  28.  Houston Brandon Rush (13) A solid shooter, and he is not a combo forward.  Seems like a nice fit.
  29.  OKC (Seattle) Jason Thompson (12) A good post defender, has not developed to be much more.
  30.  Boston Gary Forbes (und.) Undrafted the first time, this nice role player gets the first round nod the second time around.
Thoughts?

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